Central Arkansas - Prediction Contest Round 16

6,815 Views | 26 Replies | Last: 6 yr ago by nacluth
nacluth
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This is round 16 of this year's prediction competition presented by Kinnaird Guitars. It is a very simple contest, just copy and paste what I have below between the two lines and fill in your prediction including the tiebreaker. The tiebreaker will occasionally change so be aware and make sure to check it. In order to determine the winner I will take the difference between your prediction of the SFA points and their actual points. Then I will take the difference of your prediction of the opponents points and their actual points. I will then add them together and determine the outcome. If you choose the wrong winner, you will be assessed a penalty which will be the worst score of those that chose the right winner.

The closest prediction will receive 10 points and then so on (2nd gets 9, 3rd gets 8...). If you have a perfect prediction, you will receive an 8 points bonus! I will do my best to have the scores posted within the next day of the game but no guarantees.

The tiebreaker for this game is Jordan Howard's points for the game. Good luck!

SFA at Central Arkansas prediction:

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SFA: 79
UCA: 65

Tiebreaker: 26

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Predictions lock at the time of tip-off and any user that changes theirs after that will be disqualified.


Scoreboard After 15 Rounds:

80pts. cboothe09
65pts. SFAJack_76
62pts. PurpleForever
51pts. Txjack
48pts. Ljacks&Longnecks
45pts. djsfw57
44pts. TallTexan
41pts. INiedrauer
40pts. No-look
37pts. edstile
37pts. BigJack85
36pts. jboy93
36pts. sfajack05
35pts. SfaTke596
34pts. sfa17
33pts. CLHawkins
32pts. nacluth
8pts. SFAXE93
6pts. SDLJ
3pts. RedRiverLa
3pts. MasterAxe
Ryan
Kinnaird Guitars
jboy93
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SFA 81
UCA 70

TB 21
cboothe09
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SFA: 83
UCA: 75

Tiebreaker: 24
SFA Jack Fanatic
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SFA: 84
UCA: 74

T/B: 21
SFA Jack Fanatic
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nacluth said:



SFA at Central Arkansas prediction:

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SFA: 98
UCA: 59

Tiebreaker: 2

2, nacluth? 2?? Expecting a broken ankle or something? And a 39 point blowout?

Have you started drinking again? I thought you had slayed that dragon. Very sad...
Txjack
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SFA 77
CA 73
TB 24
TallTexan
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SFA: 80
UCA: 66

Tiebreaker: 19
SFAXE93
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SFA 86
UCA 79

TB 20
"History has no rubbish heap." Louis Blake Duff
nacluth
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edstile said:

Have you started drinking again? I thought you had slayed that dragon. Very sad...
Thanks Ed for your thoughts. I swear that Red Diamond Sweet Tea will be the death of me. It's as bad as any crack that I've tried. It's hard to be strong.

Thanks for the call out. I'll fix my guess.
Ryan
Kinnaird Guitars
CLHawkins
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SFA: 80
UCA: 75

Tiebreaker: 24
No-look
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SFA 81
UCA 74

TB 22
sfa17
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SFA : 88
UCA; 78

Tie : 17
djsfw57
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SFA: 84

UCA: 71


TB: 14
BigJack85
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UCA 79
SFA 64

TB 16
Axe 'Em Jacks - Class of 85'
SfaTke596
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SFA: 86
UCA: 74
Tiebreaker: 27
SFAJack_76
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SFA: 78
UCA: 69

Tiebreaker: 21

Jacks4460
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SFA: 78
UCA:64


Tiebreaker:15
MasterAxe
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UCA 79
SFA 76

TB - 26
INiedrauer
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Staff
I think I've missed the last few so I'm gonna jump back in before I totally fade into obscurity on the leaderboard...

Stephen F. Austin: 87
Central Arkansas: 75
T/B: 19
-
Isaac Niedrauer
@INiedrauer


sfajack05
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SFA: 88
UCA: 80

TB: 33
PurpleForever
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SFA: 88
UCA: 72

Tiebreaker: 18
Ljacks&Longnecks
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SFA. 86
UCA. 72

Tie-25
mrodriguez
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SFA: 84
UCA:76

TB: 28
nacluth
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Round 16 Results: MasterAxe was the big winner picking the SFA upset.

80pts. cboothe09
65pts. SFAJack_76
64pts. PurpleForever
51pts. Txjack
49pts. Ljacks&Longnecks
46pts. BigJack85
46pts. INiedrauer
45pts. djsfw57
44pts. sfajack05
44pts. TallTexan
41pts. sfa17
40pts. No-look
38pts. SfaTke596
37pts. edstile
36pts. jboy93
33pts. CLHawkins
32pts. nacluth
14pts. SFAXE93
13pts. MasterAxe
6pts. SDLJ
4pts. mrodriguez
3pts. RedRiverLa
Ryan
Kinnaird Guitars
SFAXE93
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On the Cadillac board!
"History has no rubbish heap." Louis Blake Duff
nacluth
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Round 16 thoughts:

- Ok, I'll take the blame for this loss. We've had a long term jinx riding on our tiebreakers. We have been overshooting all estimates on tiebreaks in the past such as: Bogues' points, 3 point pct, and Harris' points. So this time, I made the mistake of making the tiebreaker about Howard. Instead of overshooting his score, everyone drastically undershot his score. The closest anyone guessed was 10 points off. He blew up the predictions. I should have known that the jinx could work in reverse, and I should have stayed away from talking about Howard's point totals. I'm sorry. Mea culpa.

- Not only did we undershoot Howard's totals. No one was in the same zip code of having a close over/under prediction. Only two people picked within 30 points, and they picked the wrong winner. Almost everyone was around 40 points off the total score! That is a first, and hopefully a last. Not a single person picked UCA to finish with more than 80 points. Not a good showing for us as predictors either. Groupthink has sunk this ship.

- Congrats to MasterAxe who has faithfully been the contrarian in point spreads through the course of the year. It pays off with the big 10 point win! Welcome mrodriguez to the scoreboard!
Ryan
Kinnaird Guitars
BigJack85
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nacluth said:

Round 16 thoughts:

- Ok, I'll take the blame for this loss. We've had a long term jinx riding on our tiebreakers. We have been overshooting all estimates on tiebreaks in the past such as: Bogues' points, 3 point pct, and Harris' points. So this time, I made the mistake of making the tiebreaker about Howard. Instead of overshooting his score, everyone drastically undershot his score. The closest anyone guessed was 10 points off. He blew up the predictions. I should have known that the jinx could work in reverse, and I should have stayed away from talking about Howard's point totals. I'm sorry. Mea culpa.

- Not only did we undershoot Howard's totals. No one was in the same zip code of having a close over/under prediction. Only two people picked within 30 points, and they picked the wrong winner. Almost everyone was around 40 points off the total score! That is a first, and hopefully a last. Not a single person picked UCA to finish with more than 80 points. Not a good showing for us as predictors either. Groupthink has sunk this ship.

- Congrats to MasterAxe who has faithfully been the contrarian in point spreads through the course of the year. It pays off with the big 10 point win! Welcome mrodriguez to the scoreboard!


What about BigJack? He also called the upset! LOL.
Axe 'Em Jacks - Class of 85'
nacluth
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You're right. BigJack85 called the upset too to get his 9 points. Sorry didn't mean to exclude anyone. pro tip: don't pick against the Jacks two games in a row.
Ryan
Kinnaird Guitars
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